Risk, returns & timeframes illustration
1 min read
October 31, 2022
by
Belinda Nash

Planet of the vapes šŸ¦

Following last weekā€™s urgent government alert, vapers and retailers may be fuming that e-cigs are being vaporised from shelves. This follows zigzagging revenue returns mist by vape distributors, including Juul being smoked out of the US. But is it all smoke ā€˜nā€™ mirrors?
1 min read
October 31, 2022
by
Belinda Nash

Planet of the vapes šŸ¦

Following last weekā€™s urgent government alert, vapers and retailers may be fuming that e-cigs are being vaporised from shelves. This follows zigzagging revenue returns mist by vape distributors, including Juul being smoked out of the US. But is it all smoke ā€˜nā€™ mirrors?
1 min read
October 31, 2022
by
Belinda Nash

Planet of the vapes šŸ¦

Following last weekā€™s urgent government alert, vapers and retailers may be fuming that e-cigs are being vaporised from shelves. This follows zigzagging revenue returns mist by vape distributors, including Juul being smoked out of the US. But is it all smoke ā€˜nā€™ mirrors?
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Vape fans are sucking up the news that some of their nicotine products are being vaporised from shelves following last weekā€™s urgent government alert. And as e-cigarette chats spark up - including a Matariki #epicfail by Chinese-owned Relx (RLX) - in the US, officials have labelled youth vaping an ā€˜epidemicā€™. Even ā€˜cultural phenomenonā€™ Juul had their US market share blow up in their face. First, a 2020 TikTok teen backlash, now an FDA US ban on all Juul products due to their ā€˜disproportionateā€™ influence on youth vaping. šŸ˜¤

Was Juul shareholder Altria (MO) left fuming? The Marlboro maker, whose mantra is ā€˜moving beyond smokingā€™, has seen a five-year 28% decline in their share price, and last week missed earnings estimates. But pointing to the companyā€™s 13% shareholder return over the past year, some analysts hint of ā€˜business momentumā€™. Could Altriaā€™s new partnership with Japan Tobacco to create smoke-free products fire up the company? šŸš­

But where thereā€™s smoke, there may yet be, erm, mist? An October report projects that the global vape and e-nicotine market may reach US$55.99 billion value by 2026, more than double over five years, from US$19.92 billion in 2021. But has this news mist Zig-Zag maker Turning Point Brands (TPB) shareholders? While the vape distributor of products with names like Tequila Sunrise beat analystsā€™ earnings expectations last week, theyā€™re still down 45% from their 52 week November 2021 high of $42.62.Ā 

Vapesā€™ future forecast may have also blown past vape products distributors British American Tobacco (BTI) and Philip Morris International (PM). Theyā€™ve both been smoked over the past five years, down 39% and nearly 13% respectively, reportedly due to decreasing popularity of tobacco, and vape margins squeezed by high inflation and supply chain issues. We say zig, you say zag. šŸ”€

Belinda Nash
Finance writer
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Weā€™re not financial advisors and Hatch news is for your information only. However dazzling our writing, none of it is a recommendation to invest in any of the companies or funds mentioned. If you want support before making any investment decisions, consider seeking financial advice from a licensed provider. Weā€™ve done our best to ensure all information is current when we pushed ā€˜publishā€™ on this article. And of course, with investing, your money isnā€™t guaranteed to grow and thereā€™s always a risk you might lose money.

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